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A Theory of Flop Play: Counting Outs and Evaluating Draws


  A popular perspective on poker is that it’s a contest between a made hand and a draw.

  Under many game conditions, this is a useful perspective, but, under loose game conditions,
  maintaining that perspective of the game can lead to frequent tactical errors.

  As game conditions become loose, involving more players actively competing for the pot,
  poker becomes more a game of money and odds and less a confrontation between a made
  hand and a draw.

  Under the made-hand-versus-draw perspective, the made hand is in the lead and bets-raises   to punish the draw, which is the hand that’s chasing.

  Bets and raises are used to reduce the pot odds that the chasing hand is getting, to the   benefit of the made hand.

  This line of thinking works fine in games where most hands become two-or three-player   confrontation.

  In those kind of game conditions, ideas about best hand and hand domination are of   paramount importance, but when the game typically involves four or five players contesting   the pot on the flop, a different view of the game is needed.

 

   

Pick the Right Table / Picking a Seat / Theories of Poker / Betting Theory: The Odds

A Theory of Starting Hand Value

A Theory of Flop Play: Counting Outs and Evaluating Draws

The Dynamics of Game Conditions / Table Image / Player Stereotypes

Women and Poker / Spread-Limit Games / Double Bet on the End Games / Kill Games

Short-handed Games / Tournaments / No-limit and Pot-Limit Poker

 

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